Russia to quadruple troops stationed in the North Caucasus

Fri, 10/30/2009 - 11:36am

Just six months ago, the Kremlin declared "mission accomplished" in settling the restive, largely-Muslim region of Chechnya, and pledged to withdraw at least half its troops stationed there. Russian soldiers have allegedly resorted to brutal tactics in the decade-long effort to subdue the region, including the systematic beating and raping of Chechen civilians, widespread detention and torture, and the murder of human rights and opposition activists.

But the Kremlin has claimed victory in the regional struggle time and time again, and the most recent claims of success seem as wrong as ever; yesterday the Georgian Daily reported that "Moscow is planning to increase the number of units in the North Caucasus military district by a factor of four, according to officers there..." The plans come amidst an escalating Islamic insurgency in Ingushetia, the region bordering Chechnya to the west.  

There's no doubt that the Kremlin is facing a protracted struggle. Doku Umarov, one of the most prominent members of the insurgency (who has been reported dead on a number of occasions) released a lengthy statement in 2007 on the Al-Qaeda affiliated website Kavkaz Center, in which he declared Muslim rule:

 I reject all laws and systems established by infidels in the land of Caucasus.

I reject and declare outlawed all names used by infidels to divide Muslims.

I declare outlawed ethnic, territorial and colonial zones carrying names of "North-Caucasian republics", "Trans-Caucasian republics" and such like.

I am officially declaring of creation of the Caucasus Emirate...

We will relentlessly wage war on everyone who will oppose the establishment of the Sharia, Inshaallah. And those who openly violate that which was established by Allah and scorn the Islamic religion should not think that we will leave it unpunished. That is a serious delusion."

Photo:  KAZBEK BASAYEV/AFP/Getty Images



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Considering that Russia has

Considering that Russia has been intermittently fighting enemies inspired by militant Islam for over a century and a half, one can be forgiven for thinking that they would actually get it right.

Under International Law Chechnya is Not Part Of Russia

Greetings:

Several years ago, Zbigniew Brezinski wisely remarked that Moscow's claim to Chechnya was no different than Paris' claim to Algeria in the 1960s. The only real difference was that no body of water separated the metropolitan country from the territory it ruled by force in the former case.

Several years ago, on International Human Rights Day, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and the American Enterprise Institute held a day-long event examining Russia's policy towards Chechnya. Dr. Brezinski was the keynote speaker. Before he began his prepared remarks, he observed that there was no one from the Russian Embassy in attendance, which he described as "expected," but then noted that there was no one from the U.S. government in attendance either, which he termed "disgraceful" [note that David Kramer, then the personal assistant to then-Assistant Secretary of State Paula Dobriansky was there in a personal capacity].

Dr. Brezezinski describes himself as a product of the 20th Century -- a period of time notable for a number of genocides that occurred when the world's great powers stood aside (the idea of humanitarian interventionism was and generally remains an academic construct). He then noted the world's silence when the Armenians, Jews (the Nazis also killed in total roughly an equal number of Czech and Polish intelligentsia, Soviet POWs, gays, etc.), Cambodians and Hutu were slaughtered.

Yet the Genocide conducted by the Soviets under Stalin and subsequently under the Russians has occurred with the international community's silence with the exception of some NGOs and brave journalists (many of whom are journalists).

Chechnya is not legally part of the "Russian Federation." The Chechen population did not approve either the 1993 Russian Constitution nor the Federation Treaty in fair and free referenda.

Russia (along with China) are the world's largest empires. Most of the Russian political elite have not completely accepted the independence of Soviet Union's other successor states.

Continued Russian control of Chechnya is not worth a single Chechen or Russian life. The children of the Russian elite are not found among the "troops" in Chechnya.

As long as Russia occupies Chechnya, the Russian leadership risks the spread of the conflict throughout the Caucusus as well as all of Russia East of the Ural Mountains.

It is impossible for the Russian security forces to defend every "target" in the country. Without a political settlement of the conflict, it is a fight without end -- the price is paid on a daily basis by both the Russian and Chechen people.

Russia will never evolve into a true democracy so long as members of the elite can use the terrorist threats posed by Chechen insurgents and their allies as an excuse for not allowing political reform and civil rights in the country.

Nobody would argue that

Nobody would argue that Russia is fighting under ideal circumstances, or even that they're winning.

One of the other posters has it right, I think, when she/he points out that abandoning the territory would produce the same effects as it did when Yeltsin withdrew troops in the 90s. Chechnya is a land-locked ghetto of a place, and the only reasonable expectation is a lawless zone of kidnapping, drugs, and mercenaries.

Also, you can criticize Russia all you want for its undemocratic ways, but it is still positively Scandinavian in comparison to the anarchy that has characterized and characterizes the unstable areas of the North Caucasus. If history demonstrates anything, it is that a power vacuum in this region produces anarchy. Given that neither Turkey nor Iran can be expected to project power into the abyss (nor would the West really want them to), Russian assertiveness is all that's left.

It's precisely for this reason that Putin spent so much of this decade scratching his head at Bush's lack of cooperation on American-Russian security initiatives.

This is a question of stability and security, not freedom or democracy. Conspicuous consumption and letters to the editor are freedoms better addressed AFTER you've put a stop to suicide bombers, etc.

Russia v. Chechnya

Brezinski's logic is difficult to follow. If militants are given another state of their own, it is virtually certain that they will use it to launch terrorist attacks against every neighboring state. It seems that Russia is the only nation in the world really fighting seriously against Islamic militants. The militants are obviously convinced that they will win in the long run against weak-kneed Western leaders who speak loudly but never seem to get around to serious action. The vast majority of Russians support the policies of the Kremlin because Russia has one of the few "elites" (as you call them) who vigorously defend the interests of their own State.

Except that there is nothing

Except that there is nothing to guarantee that they would decide to launch attacks on states besides Russia. To use that logic we should have seen the Islamic militant who traveled to Kosovo to fight launching attacks on Russia for backing Serbia and the West for not acting more quickly. Amazing how few Albanians have carried out terrorist attacks in Europe lately, isn't it?
Also, for a nation determined to fight 'seriously against Islamic militants' Russia has been quick to declare victory. Almost as though it wants to convince people the fighting is over.