Kurdistan's man in Washington: Iraq's not over

Wed, 07/01/2009 - 10:37am

At a breakfast with reporters this morning, Qubad Talabani, the Kurdistan Regional Government's representative in Washington, urged the U.S. not to get "caught up in the euphoria" over withdrawal from Iraqi cities, or think that the job in Iraq is somehow done. "Having lived through 'mission accomplished 1,' we don't want to see 'mission accomplished 2,'" he said.

Talabani, who is the son of Iraqi president Jalal Talabani and was profiled by FP's Laura Rozen in 2007, highlighted a number of increasing causes for concern, focusing particularly on the sharing of oil revenue. He called yesterday's oil auction "a flop" which proves that "the days of state-run monopolies have to end."

But his biggest concern was the status of the disputed Northern territories of Kirkuk, Diyala and Nineveh, which he said was the the issue "most likely to result in degeneration" of Iraq's stability. Yesterday's bombing in Kirkuk underscored his concerns about the security situation. Talabani worries about the increasing power of Arab nationalists, such as the hardline Hadba party which recently took power in Nineveh. "The only thing standing in the way of rising Ara nationalism in Iraq is the Kurds," said Talabani. 

Talabani was also concerned the increasing power of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and the central government in Baghdad. "We did not sacrifice all of this and the United States didn't sacrifice all of this to replace one dictatorship with a lighter version," he said. 

Of particular concern to Talabani is Iraq's military buildup, since Maliki has the authority to appoint division commanders, many of whom are ex-Baathists. I asked how he thought the U.S. could support the building-up of Iraq's internal secuirty capacity without threatening Kurdistan, he recommend that the United States "make conditional the sale of militay equipment to sound policies" from Maliki. 

Referring to the recent sale of 140 Abrams tanks to Iraq, Talabani said, "Maybe I'm just an overnervous Kurd, but who are we using these tanks for?  Are we expecting another invasion?"

While Talabani is wary of "Iraq fatigue" setting in among Washington policymakers, he says is reassured by news that Vice President Joe Biden will now be overseeing Iraq policy, saying that it "sends us a message that this administration takes Iraq seriously."

Overall, Talabani seemed anxious make sure that the region he calls "one of America's few foreign policy success stories in the Middle East" doesn't get lost in the shuffle as the U.S. withdrawal proceeds. 

Getty Images

( filed under: )


Advertisement

 

Kurds are scared

From 2003-2007 the Kurds were able to have their way with things. The Iraqi state was weak after falling apart after the invasion and the 2 main Kurdish parties gained support from the U.S. and had a long standing alliance with the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council. Together they got a constitution that ensured their autonomy, included federalism, and had an article on the future of Kirkuk which would ensure that it and other disputed areas would be annexed by Kurdistan. After 2007 however the Iraqi state grew stronger, PM Maliki emerged as a leader, and most of the Arabs politicians including Maliki did not want to give into the Kurds demands. Maliki has confronted them on every matter and the Kurds have not been able to adjust their policies. Instead they have turned to attacking Maliki as a dictator. It seems the Kurdish leadership has painted themselves into a corner because the Americans are not going to help them. They have to give up some of their goals to continue in this new environment. Otherwise this whole thing could blow up and there could be fighting between Baghdad and Kurdistan.

Disintegration of Iraq

The non-Kurds Iraqi politicians just don't get it and they are making same mistake as their predecessors during 1920's as Brits were about to leave Iraq(see http://www.globalpolicy.org/component/content/article/169/36382.html ). Unwillingness of Non-Kurds to solve the Kurdish issue will lead to destruction of unnatural nation state of Iraq, if the politicians are unwisely think that being in strong position will dissuade the Kurds from demanding their rights, then they need a refresher course on the history of old Iraq.